Chips and racks
~74 billion operations per word (Kimi K2): 2 × 32B active weights + attention 61 layers × 64 heads × 2 × (192 + 128) × 4,096 words; 99.9% are matrix multiplies
7,168 multiply-adds per output: Kimi K2's hidden size
CPU peak 7.2 TFLOPS: 56 cores × 2.0 GHz × 64 operations per cycle
GPU 9× to 138× faster, 4.7× to 69× per joule: 67 or 989 TFLOPS vs. 7.2; then ÷ 700 W vs. ÷ 350 W
GPU rack ≈ 15× average rack: 120 kW ÷ 8 kW
+80 vs. +2 TWh: Gartner 2026 minus 2025 (175 − 95; 195 − 193)
Power, heat, water
Memory read ≈ 170× a multiply: 640 pJ ÷ 3.7 pJ
PUE overhead: 100 kW × (1.09 − 1) = 9 kW; × (1.56 − 1) = 56 kW
87 space heaters: 130 kW ÷ 1.5 kW
Litres per kWh: NREL gal/MWh × 3.785 ÷ 1,000 (e.g. nuclear tower 672 → 2.5)
100 MW site for a day: 100,000 kW × 24 h = 2.4 million kWh; × 1.9 L = 4.6 million L; × 2.54 L = 6.1 million L
Once-through withdrawal ~170 L/kWh: 44,350 gal/MWh × 3.785 ÷ 1,000
Cheaper inference
295 operations per byte: 989 TFLOPS ÷ 3.35 TB/s
Math units busy: (2 × batch operations ÷ 2 bytes) ÷ 295, capped at 100%
Energy per operation: 320 pJ ÷ (2 × batch) + 0.75 pJ → 161 pJ at batch 1, 1.1 at 512 (~150×)
Caching, 750× less work: 1,001 + 1,002 + … + 2,000 = 1,500,500 passes vs. 2,000
KV cache 70 KB per token: (512 + 64) × 2 bytes × 61 layers; × 131,072 tokens = 9.2 GB
Quantized weights: 10¹² × bits ÷ 8 = 2 / 1 / 0.5 TB; users = (1,440 GB − weights) ÷ 9.2 GB → 47 and 102
Distillation: 37 ÷ 7 ≈ 5× less math; 671 ÷ 7 ≈ 96× less memory
Mixture of experts: 1T ÷ 32B ≈ 31× less math per word
Linear attention: full = 61 × 64 × 320 × n²; linear = 61 × 64 × 7 × 128² × n; rest = 2 × 32B × n; time = operations ÷ 989 TFLOPS; crossover at 2 × 32B ÷ (61 × 64 × 320) ≈ 51k tokens
Debatable or uncertain
Hydro ≈ 0 water: NREL counts reservoir evaporation (~17 L/kWh). We don't charge it: the fair comparison, the same land with no dam, isn't a real option. Others do charge it.
Energy figures are from a 2014, 45 nm chip; today's are lower. The 640 pJ read is only confirmed as "over 500."
Estimates simplify: batching ignores attention reads; linear-attention cost is a rough model; server overhead is ignored.
Industry totals (Gartner, IEA, Synergy) use different methods; prices change monthly.